[thechat] rationality is not enough (was: New Year's Resolution)

deke web at master.gen.in.us
Fri Jan 3 13:28:01 CST 2003


On 4 Jan 2003 at 0:26, Madhu Menon posted a message which said:

> (Pop quiz: If you toss a coin ten times in the air and it comes up
> heads, does the probability of tails coming up on the eleventh toss go
> up or down? Answer: Neither. It remains exactly the same - 50%)

I'll go along with the "same", but not with the 50% probability bit.
There's likely something wrong with the coin or the flipping technique.
I'll bet heads.

deke




--
If I have seen farther than others, it is by stepping on the toes of
giants





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